← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

Santa Barbara to King Harbor 2018 vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
11h 22m 35s
99.5% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
9h 18m 04s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-2h 04m 30s
-18.2% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 3h 25m 30s 2h 41m 05s -44m 24s +35.7%
7 kt 2h 08m 50s 1h 48m 01s -20m 48s +16.7%
8 kt 1h 32m 45s 1h 18m 19s -14m 25s +11.6%
9 kt 1h 08m 35s 57m 46s -10m 48s +8.7%
10 kt 43m 40s 37m 16s -6m 23s +5.1%
12 kt 49m 05s 41m 35s -7m 29s +6.0%
14 kt 37m 15s 30m 12s -7m 02s +5.7%
16 kt 18m 45s 14m 49s -3m 55s +3.1%
20 kt 37m 40s 28m 38s -9m 01s +7.2%
25 kt 0m 30s 0m 18s -0m 11s +0.2%
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° 6m 20s 4m 45s -1m 34s +1.3%
52° no data
60° 1m 00s 0m 42s -0m 17s +0.2%
70° 5m 55s 4m 16s -1m 38s +1.3%
75° 7m 10s 5m 45s -1m 24s +1.1%
80° 9m 10s 7m 59s -1m 10s +0.9%
90° 21m 45s 16m 25s -5m 19s +4.3%
100° 1h 03m 00s 49m 18s -13m 41s +11.0%
110° 2h 12m 55s 1h 49m 03s -23m 51s +19.2%
120° 2h 07m 15s 1h 43m 42s -23m 32s +18.9%
130° 2h 45m 25s 2h 17m 33s -27m 51s +22.4%
135° 1h 17m 30s 1h 04m 10s -13m 19s +10.7%
140° 54m 55s 44m 53s -10m 01s +8.1%
150° 10m 15s 9m 29s -0m 45s +0.6%
160° no data