← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

TransPac 2017 vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
182h 56m 00s
99.9% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
151h 44m 03s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-31h 11m 56s
-17.1% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 48m 35s 28m 44s -19m 50s +1.1%
7 kt 25m 45s 24m 42s -1m 02s +0.1%
8 kt 10m 35s 7m 50s -2m 44s +0.1%
9 kt 17m 30s 14m 01s -3m 28s +0.2%
10 kt 52m 00s 46m 24s -5m 35s +0.3%
12 kt 1h 30m 50s 1h 19m 42s -11m 07s +0.6%
14 kt 6h 26m 15s 5h 35m 24s -50m 50s +2.7%
16 kt 51h 31m 10s 44h 29m 51s -7h 01m 18s +22.5%
20 kt 108h 19m 10s 88h 27m 47s -19h 51m 22s +63.6%
25 kt 12h 34m 10s 9h 49m 33s -2h 44m 36s +8.8%
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° 32m 15s 35m 37s +3m 22s -0.2%
52° 1h 34m 55s 1h 26m 27s -8m 27s +0.5%
60° 1h 10m 25s 1h 00m 42s -9m 42s +0.5%
70° 1h 49m 15s 1h 24m 53s -24m 21s +1.3%
75° 1h 49m 05s 1h 14m 24s -34m 40s +1.9%
80° 7h 23m 55s 4h 59m 15s -2h 24m 39s +7.7%
90° 10h 05m 05s 6h 43m 56s -3h 21m 08s +10.7%
100° 4h 26m 20s 3h 14m 35s -1h 11m 44s +3.8%
110° 5h 45m 00s 4h 14m 36s -1h 30m 23s +4.8%
120° 9h 25m 35s 7h 08m 51s -2h 16m 43s +7.3%
130° 15h 21m 15s 11h 10m 24s -4h 10m 50s +13.4%
135° 26h 28m 20s 20h 15m 40s -6h 12m 39s +19.9%
140° 55h 52m 30s 46h 25m 15s -9h 27m 14s +30.3%
150° 36h 25m 35s 36h 21m 12s -4m 22s +0.2%
160° 4h 46m 30s 5h 28m 08s +41m 38s -2.2%