← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

Newport - Ensenada 2018 vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
14h 24m 25s
99.5% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
11h 53m 39s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-2h 30m 45s
-17.4% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 25m 00s 21m 02s -3m 57s +2.6%
7 kt 57m 35s 50m 33s -7m 01s +4.7%
8 kt 1h 17m 05s 1h 04m 14s -12m 50s +8.5%
9 kt 1h 12m 25s 59m 07s -13m 17s +8.8%
10 kt 1h 50m 00s 1h 32m 34s -17m 25s +11.6%
12 kt 2h 21m 25s 1h 57m 54s -23m 30s +15.6%
14 kt 3h 12m 15s 2h 35m 14s -37m 00s +24.5%
16 kt 2h 45m 30s 2h 15m 09s -30m 20s +20.1%
20 kt 23m 10s 17m 47s -5m 22s +3.6%
25 kt no data
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° no data
52° no data
60° 2m 55s 2m 40s -0m 14s +0.2%
70° 10m 10s 8m 56s -1m 13s +0.8%
75° 7m 20s 6m 19s -1m 00s +0.7%
80° 16m 40s 14m 18s -2m 21s +1.6%
90° 1h 01m 30s 46m 43s -14m 46s +9.8%
100° 2h 15m 35s 1h 50m 23s -25m 11s +16.7%
110° 1h 41m 20s 1h 27m 37s -13m 42s +9.1%
120° 2h 07m 05s 1h 37m 26s -29m 38s +19.7%
130° 2h 56m 40s 2h 22m 40s -33m 59s +22.5%
135° 1h 52m 05s 1h 33m 53s -18m 11s +12.1%
140° 1h 25m 55s 1h 15m 00s -10m 54s +7.2%
150° 23m 50s 23m 54s +0m 04s 0.0%
160° 3m 20s 3m 42s +0m 22s -0.3%