← Polars · Boatspeed Table
Finish Time Delta
What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.
Newport - Ensenada 2018 vs. MM reference
Actual (analyzed)
14h 24m 25s
99.5% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
11h 53m 39s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-2h 30m 45s
-17.4% of actual time · slower than the polar overall
By True Wind Speed
| TWS | Actual | Theoretical | Delta | % of total delta |
| 4 kt |
no data |
| 6 kt |
25m 00s |
21m 02s |
-3m 57s |
+2.6% |
| 7 kt |
57m 35s |
50m 33s |
-7m 01s |
+4.7% |
| 8 kt |
1h 17m 05s |
1h 04m 14s |
-12m 50s |
+8.5% |
| 9 kt |
1h 12m 25s |
59m 07s |
-13m 17s |
+8.8% |
| 10 kt |
1h 50m 00s |
1h 32m 34s |
-17m 25s |
+11.6% |
| 12 kt |
2h 21m 25s |
1h 57m 54s |
-23m 30s |
+15.6% |
| 14 kt |
3h 12m 15s |
2h 35m 14s |
-37m 00s |
+24.5% |
| 16 kt |
2h 45m 30s |
2h 15m 09s |
-30m 20s |
+20.1% |
| 20 kt |
23m 10s |
17m 47s |
-5m 22s |
+3.6% |
| 25 kt |
no data |
| 30 kt |
no data |
By True Wind Angle
| TWA | Actual | Theoretical | Delta | % of total delta |
| 45° |
no data |
| 52° |
no data |
| 60° |
2m 55s |
2m 40s |
-0m 14s |
+0.2% |
| 70° |
10m 10s |
8m 56s |
-1m 13s |
+0.8% |
| 75° |
7m 20s |
6m 19s |
-1m 00s |
+0.7% |
| 80° |
16m 40s |
14m 18s |
-2m 21s |
+1.6% |
| 90° |
1h 01m 30s |
46m 43s |
-14m 46s |
+9.8% |
| 100° |
2h 15m 35s |
1h 50m 23s |
-25m 11s |
+16.7% |
| 110° |
1h 41m 20s |
1h 27m 37s |
-13m 42s |
+9.1% |
| 120° |
2h 07m 05s |
1h 37m 26s |
-29m 38s |
+19.7% |
| 130° |
2h 56m 40s |
2h 22m 40s |
-33m 59s |
+22.5% |
| 135° |
1h 52m 05s |
1h 33m 53s |
-18m 11s |
+12.1% |
| 140° |
1h 25m 55s |
1h 15m 00s |
-10m 54s |
+7.2% |
| 150° |
23m 50s |
23m 54s |
+0m 04s |
0.0% |
| 160° |
3m 20s |
3m 42s |
+0m 22s |
-0.3% |