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Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

PBYC Tri Point Race 2016 (Santa Barbara - Ventura) vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
4h 20m 20s
98.8% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
3h 21m 32s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-58m 47s
-22.6% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 53m 50s 39m 32s -14m 17s +24.3%
7 kt 15m 55s 14m 55s -0m 59s +1.7%
8 kt 22m 35s 20m 06s -2m 28s +4.2%
9 kt 20m 20s 18m 06s -2m 13s +3.8%
10 kt 26m 50s 24m 20s -2m 29s +4.2%
12 kt 1h 04m 35s 48m 37s -15m 57s +27.1%
14 kt 48m 55s 31m 25s -17m 29s +29.8%
16 kt 7m 20s 4m 28s -2m 51s +4.9%
20 kt no data
25 kt no data
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° 2m 55s 2m 13s -0m 41s +1.2%
52° 2m 50s 2m 15s -0m 34s +1.0%
60° 7m 30s 5m 16s -2m 13s +3.8%
70° 8m 05s 5m 26s -2m 38s +4.5%
75° 5m 10s 3m 31s -1m 38s +2.8%
80° 10m 50s 7m 38s -3m 11s +5.4%
90° 21m 20s 12m 14s -9m 05s +15.5%
100° 32m 05s 19m 24s -12m 40s +21.6%
110° 20m 25s 13m 18s -7m 06s +12.1%
120° 31m 15s 25m 12s -6m 02s +10.3%
130° 24m 20s 21m 32s -2m 47s +4.7%
135° 23m 00s 20m 15s -2m 44s +4.7%
140° 38m 20s 33m 49s -4m 30s +7.7%
150° 24m 00s 21m 47s -2m 12s +3.7%
160° 8m 15s 7m 36s -0m 38s +1.1%