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Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

Coastal Cup 2016 (Monterey - Santa Barbara) vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
26h 48m 45s
99.8% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
23h 41m 29s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-3h 07m 15s
-11.6% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 1h 08m 35s 50m 03s -18m 31s +9.9%
7 kt 1h 06m 15s 58m 06s -8m 08s +4.3%
8 kt 1h 03m 25s 57m 45s -5m 39s +3.0%
9 kt 1h 12m 40s 1h 06m 20s -6m 19s +3.4%
10 kt 2h 55m 05s 2h 42m 56s -12m 08s +6.5%
12 kt 6h 04m 35s 5h 35m 06s -29m 28s +15.7%
14 kt 6h 15m 55s 5h 28m 14s -47m 40s +25.5%
16 kt 5h 46m 50s 5h 02m 15s -44m 34s +23.8%
20 kt 1h 14m 00s 59m 28s -14m 31s +7.8%
25 kt 1m 25s 1m 11s -0m 13s +0.1%
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° 5m 40s 3m 11s -2m 28s +1.3%
52° 6m 25s 4m 42s -1m 42s +0.9%
60° 41m 20s 33m 45s -7m 34s +4.0%
70° 56m 55s 42m 58s -13m 56s +7.4%
75° 31m 35s 23m 45s -7m 49s +4.2%
80° 30m 35s 22m 41s -7m 53s +4.2%
90° 27m 45s 13m 44s -14m 00s +7.5%
100° 12m 50s 8m 35s -4m 14s +2.3%
110° 13m 30s 8m 37s -4m 52s +2.6%
120° 1h 28m 25s 1h 08m 50s -19m 34s +10.5%
130° 3h 54m 35s 3h 17m 32s -37m 02s +19.8%
135° 4h 45m 30s 4h 08m 29s -37m 00s +19.8%
140° 7h 48m 45s 7h 08m 14s -40m 30s +21.6%
150° 4h 14m 15s 4h 21m 11s +6m 56s -3.7%
160° 50m 40s 55m 08s +4m 28s -2.4%