← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

Spinnaker Cup 2016 (SF - Monterey) vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
8h 55m 55s
97.1% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
7h 28m 15s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-1h 27m 39s
-16.4% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 20m 00s 16m 55s -3m 04s +3.5%
7 kt 56m 05s 47m 02s -9m 02s +10.3%
8 kt 45m 20s 35m 36s -9m 43s +11.1%
9 kt 33m 40s 24m 18s -9m 21s +10.7%
10 kt 40m 20s 30m 21s -9m 58s +11.4%
12 kt 42m 10s 33m 50s -8m 19s +9.5%
14 kt 46m 15s 37m 54s -8m 20s +9.5%
16 kt 1h 23m 50s 1h 15m 57s -7m 52s +9.0%
20 kt 1h 31m 30s 1h 19m 46s -11m 43s +13.4%
25 kt 1h 16m 45s 1h 06m 32s -10m 12s +11.6%
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° no data
52° 5m 25s 4m 08s -1m 16s +1.5%
60° 34m 45s 26m 49s -7m 55s +9.0%
70° 50m 20s 40m 25s -9m 54s +11.3%
75° 33m 35s 27m 38s -5m 56s +6.8%
80° 26m 05s 21m 35s -4m 29s +5.1%
90° 9m 35s 6m 39s -2m 55s +3.3%
100° 4m 05s 2m 49s -1m 15s +1.4%
110° 9m 15s 7m 06s -2m 08s +2.4%
120° 19m 45s 16m 00s -3m 44s +4.3%
130° 19m 50s 14m 44s -5m 05s +5.8%
135° 34m 30s 26m 33s -7m 56s +9.1%
140° 1h 59m 40s 1h 35m 56s -23m 43s +27.1%
150° 2h 06m 10s 1h 53m 56s -12m 13s +13.9%
160° 42m 55s 43m 50s +0m 55s -1.1%