← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

Doublehanded Farallones Race 2016 vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
5h 41m 10s
94.6% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
3h 20m 36s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-2h 20m 33s
-41.2% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 8m 10s 6m 09s -2m 00s +1.4%
7 kt 9m 00s 6m 48s -2m 11s +1.6%
8 kt 9m 10s 6m 53s -2m 16s +1.6%
9 kt 7m 30s 5m 57s -1m 32s +1.1%
10 kt 5m 45s 4m 46s -0m 58s +0.7%
12 kt 4m 55s 3m 43s -1m 11s +0.8%
14 kt 8m 10s 5m 37s -2m 32s +1.8%
16 kt 40m 25s 26m 01s -14m 23s +10.2%
20 kt 2h 06m 15s 1h 11m 58s -54m 16s +38.6%
25 kt 2h 01m 50s 1h 02m 39s -59m 10s +42.1%
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° 1h 06m 40s 38m 36s -28m 03s +20.0%
52° 1h 08m 00s 41m 39s -26m 20s +18.7%
60° 34m 00s 23m 25s -10m 34s +7.5%
70° 10m 50s 7m 30s -3m 19s +2.4%
75° 0m 45s 0m 28s -0m 16s +0.2%
80° 5m 15s 3m 59s -1m 15s +0.9%
90° 5m 00s 3m 10s -1m 49s +1.3%
100° 1m 55s 1m 19s -0m 35s +0.4%
110° 2m 55s 1m 09s -1m 45s +1.2%
120° 27m 00s 12m 56s -14m 03s +10.0%
130° 40m 10s 19m 48s -20m 21s +14.5%
135° 24m 10s 12m 15s -11m 54s +8.5%
140° 25m 45s 13m 57s -11m 47s +8.4%
150° 20m 30s 14m 11s -6m 18s +4.5%
160° 8m 15s 6m 08s -2m 06s +1.5%