← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

BVI Spring Regatta 2019 (Day 4) vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
5h 03m 10s
98.5% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
4h 10m 45s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-52m 24s
-17.3% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 19m 55s 15m 16s -4m 38s +8.9%
7 kt 42m 45s 35m 20s -7m 24s +14.1%
8 kt 1h 09m 15s 58m 14s -11m 00s +21.0%
9 kt 1h 20m 45s 1h 09m 01s -11m 43s +22.4%
10 kt 1h 13m 45s 1h 00m 40s -13m 04s +25.0%
12 kt 15m 10s 11m 05s -4m 04s +7.8%
14 kt 1m 35s 1m 07s -0m 27s +0.9%
16 kt no data
20 kt no data
25 kt no data
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° 16m 30s 14m 57s -1m 32s +2.9%
52° 29m 20s 25m 32s -3m 47s +7.2%
60° 17m 30s 14m 15s -3m 14s +6.2%
70° 8m 30s 6m 59s -1m 30s +2.9%
75° 5m 40s 4m 50s -0m 49s +1.6%
80° 16m 20s 13m 17s -3m 02s +5.8%
90° 25m 15s 17m 58s -7m 16s +13.9%
100° 43m 20s 33m 02s -10m 17s +19.6%
110° 59m 40s 49m 11s -10m 28s +20.0%
120° 53m 15s 46m 42s -6m 32s +12.5%
130° 18m 30s 15m 44s -2m 45s +5.3%
135° 7m 10s 6m 16s -0m 53s +1.7%
140° 2m 10s 1m 55s -0m 14s +0.5%
150° no data
160° no data