← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

BVI Spring Regatta 2019 (Day 2) vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
3h 07m 40s
98.2% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
2h 21m 49s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-45m 50s
-24.4% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt no data
7 kt no data
8 kt no data
9 kt 3m 00s 2m 19s -0m 40s +1.5%
10 kt 24m 40s 17m 39s -7m 00s +15.3%
12 kt 1h 14m 50s 57m 45s -17m 04s +37.3%
14 kt 1h 02m 55s 47m 53s -15m 01s +32.8%
16 kt 21m 20s 15m 32s -5m 47s +12.6%
20 kt 0m 55s 0m 38s -0m 16s +0.6%
25 kt no data
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° 2m 55s 2m 22s -0m 32s +1.2%
52° 15m 20s 13m 33s -1m 46s +3.9%
60° 35m 20s 31m 03s -4m 16s +9.3%
70° 10m 25s 8m 35s -1m 49s +4.0%
75° 3m 20s 2m 35s -0m 44s +1.6%
80° 4m 55s 4m 03s -0m 51s +1.9%
90° 11m 50s 7m 36s -4m 13s +9.2%
100° 11m 10s 6m 33s -4m 36s +10.1%
110° 11m 10s 7m 12s -3m 57s +8.6%
120° 16m 25s 10m 33s -5m 51s +12.8%
130° 23m 05s 17m 09s -5m 55s +12.9%
135° 22m 10s 16m 03s -6m 06s +13.3%
140° 15m 00s 11m 00s -3m 59s +8.7%
150° 4m 35s 3m 25s -1m 09s +2.5%
160° no data