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Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

Les Voiles de Saint Barth 2019 (Day 4) vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
2h 31m 05s
96.2% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
1h 51m 14s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-39m 50s
-26.4% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt no data
7 kt no data
8 kt no data
9 kt no data
10 kt no data
12 kt 4m 45s 4m 03s -0m 41s +1.8%
14 kt 23m 20s 17m 49s -5m 30s +13.8%
16 kt 1h 23m 45s 1h 01m 53s -21m 51s +54.8%
20 kt 39m 15s 27m 28s -11m 46s +29.6%
25 kt no data
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° 31m 40s 21m 13s -10m 26s +26.2%
52° 26m 10s 19m 49s -6m 20s +15.9%
60° 16m 45s 12m 07s -4m 37s +11.6%
70° 7m 25s 5m 22s -2m 02s +5.1%
75° 2m 55s 2m 05s -0m 49s +2.1%
80° 3m 45s 2m 37s -1m 07s +2.8%
90° 2m 55s 1m 42s -1m 12s +3.0%
100° 2m 00s 1m 01s -0m 58s +2.4%
110° 2m 55s 1m 31s -1m 23s +3.5%
120° 5m 55s 3m 32s -2m 22s +6.0%
130° 10m 10s 7m 30s -2m 39s +6.7%
135° 11m 00s 8m 41s -2m 18s +5.8%
140° 15m 55s 13m 03s -2m 51s +7.2%
150° 9m 30s 8m 55s -0m 34s +1.4%
160° 2m 05s 2m 00s -0m 04s +0.2%