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Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

Les Voiles de Saint Barth 2019 (Day 2) vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
3h 06m 35s
99.1% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
2h 23m 44s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-42m 50s
-23.0% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt no data
7 kt no data
8 kt no data
9 kt no data
10 kt no data
12 kt 5m 35s 4m 55s -0m 39s +1.5%
14 kt 18m 05s 14m 56s -3m 08s +7.3%
16 kt 1h 00m 30s 47m 09s -13m 20s +31.1%
20 kt 1h 28m 30s 1h 05m 22s -23m 07s +54.0%
25 kt 13m 55s 11m 19s -2m 35s +6.0%
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° 39m 35s 32m 32s -7m 02s +16.4%
52° 32m 55s 26m 53s -6m 01s +14.1%
60° 15m 20s 11m 43s -3m 36s +8.4%
70° 4m 05s 2m 38s -1m 26s +3.3%
75° 3m 00s 1m 44s -1m 15s +2.9%
80° 3m 25s 2m 00s -1m 24s +3.3%
90° 5m 35s 3m 06s -2m 28s +5.8%
100° 7m 35s 4m 42s -2m 52s +6.7%
110° 11m 25s 7m 21s -4m 03s +9.5%
120° 12m 45s 9m 20s -3m 24s +8.0%
130° 17m 45s 13m 40s -4m 04s +9.5%
135° 15m 25s 12m 44s -2m 40s +6.2%
140° 13m 50s 11m 39s -2m 10s +5.1%
150° 3m 55s 3m 35s -0m 19s +0.7%
160° no data