← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

Santa Barbara to King Harbor 2023 vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
6h 41m 40s
99.5% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
5h 32m 00s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-1h 09m 39s
-17.3% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 2h 19m 35s 1h 52m 16s -27m 18s +39.2%
7 kt 1h 05m 55s 53m 41s -12m 13s +17.6%
8 kt 56m 50s 48m 14s -8m 35s +12.3%
9 kt 1h 00m 35s 51m 13s -9m 21s +13.4%
10 kt 56m 55s 48m 38s -8m 16s +11.9%
12 kt 20m 15s 16m 45s -3m 29s +5.0%
14 kt 1m 35s 1m 10s -0m 24s +0.6%
16 kt no data
20 kt no data
25 kt no data
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° 1m 35s 1m 45s +0m 10s -0.3%
52° 1m 15s 0m 46s -0m 28s +0.7%
60° 3m 35s 3m 26s -0m 08s +0.2%
70° 6m 40s 6m 08s -0m 31s +0.7%
75° 1m 45s 1m 33s -0m 11s +0.3%
80° 1m 40s 1m 47s +0m 07s -0.2%
90° 13m 05s 10m 23s -2m 41s +3.9%
100° 37m 35s 30m 11s -7m 23s +10.6%
110° 1h 15m 15s 1h 02m 43s -12m 31s +18.0%
120° 1h 35m 05s 1h 19m 16s -15m 48s +22.7%
130° 1h 31m 45s 1h 16m 57s -14m 47s +21.2%
135° 27m 50s 22m 45s -5m 04s +7.3%
140° 20m 35s 15m 10s -5m 24s +7.8%
150° 18m 25s 14m 07s -4m 17s +6.2%
160° 5m 35s 4m 54s -0m 40s +1.0%