← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

Caribbean 600 2019 vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
47h 39m 00s
99.7% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
36h 15m 32s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-11h 23m 27s
-23.9% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt no data
7 kt 1m 15s 1m 12s -0m 02s +0.0%
8 kt 7m 05s 6m 50s -0m 14s +0.0%
9 kt 21m 25s 20m 00s -1m 24s +0.2%
10 kt 23m 45s 20m 37s -3m 07s +0.5%
12 kt 30m 35s 26m 12s -4m 22s +0.6%
14 kt 1h 21m 55s 1h 08m 46s -13m 08s +1.9%
16 kt 7h 08m 15s 5h 50m 16s -1h 17m 58s +11.4%
20 kt 30h 03m 25s 22h 23m 23s -7h 40m 01s +67.3%
25 kt 7h 41m 20s 5h 38m 12s -2h 03m 07s +18.0%
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° 7h 33m 35s 5h 41m 08s -1h 52m 26s +16.5%
52° 7h 33m 55s 5h 41m 00s -1h 52m 54s +16.5%
60° 4h 00m 00s 3h 02m 02s -57m 57s +8.5%
70° 3h 19m 30s 2h 30m 42s -48m 47s +7.1%
75° 1h 26m 20s 1h 05m 54s -20m 25s +3.0%
80° 1h 29m 05s 1h 10m 15s -18m 49s +2.8%
90° 1h 16m 00s 56m 36s -19m 23s +2.8%
100° 1h 39m 30s 1h 12m 52s -26m 37s +3.9%
110° 3h 52m 05s 2h 45m 53s -1h 06m 11s +9.7%
120° 5h 01m 00s 3h 43m 33s -1h 17m 26s +11.3%
130° 3h 27m 50s 2h 40m 36s -47m 13s +6.9%
135° 3h 03m 00s 2h 20m 51s -42m 08s +6.2%
140° 3h 17m 50s 2h 44m 41s -33m 08s +4.8%
150° 37m 10s 37m 21s +0m 11s 0.0%
160° 2m 10s 2m 01s -0m 08s +0.0%