← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

Santa Barbara to King Harbor 2025 vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
7h 04m 30s
99.1% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
5h 35m 55s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-1h 28m 34s
-20.9% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 8m 25s 7m 21s -1m 03s +1.2%
7 kt 18m 15s 15m 31s -2m 43s +3.1%
8 kt 13m 20s 10m 40s -2m 39s +3.0%
9 kt 4m 55s 3m 40s -1m 14s +1.4%
10 kt 17m 45s 14m 01s -3m 43s +4.2%
12 kt 1h 00m 15s 51m 34s -8m 40s +9.8%
14 kt 59m 55s 49m 06s -10m 48s +12.2%
16 kt 1h 27m 50s 1h 08m 08s -19m 41s +22.2%
20 kt 2h 08m 35s 1h 36m 07s -32m 27s +36.6%
25 kt 25m 15s 19m 43s -5m 31s +6.2%
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° no data
52° no data
60° 5m 35s 3m 36s -1m 58s +2.2%
70° 2m 05s 1m 05s -0m 59s +1.1%
75° 1m 40s 1m 36s -0m 03s +0.1%
80° 6m 30s 6m 12s -0m 17s +0.3%
90° 16m 05s 12m 55s -3m 09s +3.6%
100° 19m 20s 12m 09s -7m 10s +8.1%
110° 35m 05s 22m 34s -12m 30s +14.1%
120° 52m 45s 36m 05s -16m 39s +18.8%
130° 16m 00s 11m 50s -4m 09s +4.7%
135° 54m 30s 42m 55s -11m 34s +13.1%
140° 2h 42m 15s 2h 14m 32s -27m 42s +31.3%
150° 47m 55s 46m 03s -1m 51s +2.1%
160° 4m 45s 4m 17s -0m 27s +0.5%