← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

Santa Barbara to King Harbor 2022 vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
8h 13m 40s
99.8% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
7h 01m 14s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-1h 12m 25s
-14.7% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 31m 15s 25m 12s -6m 02s +8.3%
7 kt 48m 10s 40m 37s -7m 32s +10.4%
8 kt 1h 14m 20s 1h 02m 45s -11m 34s +16.0%
9 kt 1h 15m 50s 1h 05m 04s -10m 45s +14.8%
10 kt 1h 05m 55s 58m 22s -7m 32s +10.4%
12 kt 1h 47m 35s 1h 34m 57s -12m 37s +17.4%
14 kt 1h 26m 05s 1h 10m 52s -15m 12s +21.0%
16 kt 4m 30s 3m 21s -1m 08s +1.6%
20 kt no data
25 kt no data
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° no data
52° no data
60° no data
70° no data
75° no data
80° no data
90° no data
100° 1m 45s 1m 18s -0m 26s +0.6%
110° 29m 15s 23m 17s -5m 57s +8.2%
120° 1h 44m 50s 1h 25m 48s -19m 01s +26.3%
130° 1h 02m 50s 52m 58s -9m 51s +13.6%
135° 1h 26m 55s 1h 13m 03s -13m 51s +19.1%
140° 3h 11m 25s 2h 48m 31s -22m 53s +31.6%
150° 16m 05s 15m 43s -0m 21s +0.5%
160° 0m 35s 0m 34s -0m 00s +0.0%