← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

Santa Barbara to King Harbor 2021 vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
6h 15m 30s
97.7% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
5h 01m 40s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-1h 13m 49s
-19.7% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 7m 35s 4m 51s -2m 43s +3.7%
7 kt 5m 45s 3m 36s -2m 08s +2.9%
8 kt 4m 55s 2m 55s -1m 59s +2.7%
9 kt 4m 50s 3m 22s -1m 27s +2.0%
10 kt 11m 05s 9m 48s -1m 16s +1.7%
12 kt 26m 00s 21m 47s -4m 12s +5.7%
14 kt 46m 40s 38m 51s -7m 48s +10.6%
16 kt 1h 10m 30s 1h 00m 35s -9m 54s +13.4%
20 kt 2h 10m 40s 1h 45m 50s -24m 49s +33.6%
25 kt 1h 07m 30s 50m 00s -17m 29s +23.7%
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° no data
52° no data
60° no data
70° no data
75° no data
80° 2m 30s 1m 41s -0m 48s +1.1%
90° 6m 10s 4m 02s -2m 07s +2.9%
100° 14m 45s 10m 13s -4m 31s +6.1%
110° 31m 35s 24m 37s -6m 57s +9.4%
120° 1h 02m 00s 47m 30s -14m 29s +19.6%
130° 35m 20s 27m 05s -8m 14s +11.2%
135° 22m 35s 17m 04s -5m 30s +7.5%
140° 1h 33m 55s 1h 13m 57s -19m 57s +27.0%
150° 1h 37m 20s 1h 26m 44s -10m 35s +14.4%
160° 9m 20s 8m 44s -0m 35s +0.8%