← Polars · Boatspeed Table
Finish Time Delta
What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.
Santa Barbara to King Harbor 2026 vs. MM reference
Actual (analyzed)
8h 02m 55s
99.4% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
6h 28m 50s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-1h 34m 04s
-19.5% of actual time · slower than the polar overall
By True Wind Speed
| TWS | Actual | Theoretical | Delta | % of total delta |
| 4 kt |
no data |
| 6 kt |
39m 05s |
29m 48s |
-9m 16s |
+9.9% |
| 7 kt |
8m 30s |
7m 16s |
-1m 13s |
+1.3% |
| 8 kt |
14m 20s |
12m 39s |
-1m 40s |
+1.8% |
| 9 kt |
23m 40s |
20m 54s |
-2m 45s |
+2.9% |
| 10 kt |
33m 55s |
30m 59s |
-2m 55s |
+3.1% |
| 12 kt |
1h 01m 10s |
51m 34s |
-9m 35s |
+10.2% |
| 14 kt |
1h 51m 55s |
1h 26m 08s |
-25m 46s |
+27.4% |
| 16 kt |
2h 23m 15s |
1h 54m 21s |
-28m 53s |
+30.7% |
| 20 kt |
47m 05s |
35m 07s |
-11m 57s |
+12.7% |
| 25 kt |
no data |
| 30 kt |
no data |
By True Wind Angle
| TWA | Actual | Theoretical | Delta | % of total delta |
| 45° |
no data |
| 52° |
no data |
| 60° |
no data |
| 70° |
no data |
| 75° |
no data |
| 80° |
1m 00s |
0m 47s |
-0m 12s |
+0.2% |
| 90° |
3m 05s |
1m 44s |
-1m 20s |
+1.4% |
| 100° |
27m 45s |
18m 26s |
-9m 18s |
+9.9% |
| 110° |
33m 35s |
23m 02s |
-10m 32s |
+11.2% |
| 120° |
1h 11m 00s |
52m 35s |
-18m 24s |
+19.6% |
| 130° |
1h 47m 45s |
1h 28m 08s |
-19m 36s |
+20.8% |
| 135° |
2h 00m 05s |
1h 39m 59s |
-20m 05s |
+21.3% |
| 140° |
1h 50m 35s |
1h 36m 09s |
-14m 25s |
+15.3% |
| 150° |
8m 05s |
7m 56s |
-0m 08s |
+0.2% |
| 160° |
no data |