← Polars · Boatspeed Table
Finish Time Delta
What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.
Newport to Ensenada 2026 vs. MM reference
Actual (analyzed)
14h 08m 55s
99.5% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
10h 54m 41s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-3h 14m 13s
-22.9% of actual time · slower than the polar overall
By True Wind Speed
| TWS | Actual | Theoretical | Delta | % of total delta |
| 4 kt |
no data |
| 6 kt |
41m 35s |
33m 08s |
-8m 26s |
+4.3% |
| 7 kt |
51m 20s |
41m 18s |
-10m 01s |
+5.2% |
| 8 kt |
1h 17m 05s |
1h 02m 50s |
-14m 14s |
+7.3% |
| 9 kt |
1h 43m 35s |
1h 24m 43s |
-18m 51s |
+9.7% |
| 10 kt |
2h 55m 35s |
2h 28m 00s |
-27m 34s |
+14.2% |
| 12 kt |
3h 57m 25s |
3h 00m 26s |
-56m 58s |
+29.3% |
| 14 kt |
1h 53m 20s |
1h 13m 10s |
-40m 09s |
+20.7% |
| 16 kt |
46m 05s |
29m 15s |
-16m 49s |
+8.7% |
| 20 kt |
2m 55s |
1m 48s |
-1m 06s |
+0.6% |
| 25 kt |
no data |
| 30 kt |
no data |
By True Wind Angle
| TWA | Actual | Theoretical | Delta | % of total delta |
| 45° |
27m 25s |
26m 50s |
-0m 34s |
+0.3% |
| 52° |
53m 10s |
48m 27s |
-4m 42s |
+2.4% |
| 60° |
43m 30s |
38m 50s |
-4m 39s |
+2.4% |
| 70° |
17m 05s |
14m 24s |
-2m 40s |
+1.4% |
| 75° |
6m 40s |
5m 23s |
-1m 16s |
+0.7% |
| 80° |
33m 35s |
27m 13s |
-6m 21s |
+3.3% |
| 90° |
2h 01m 05s |
1h 21m 07s |
-39m 57s |
+20.6% |
| 100° |
2h 05m 25s |
1h 23m 23s |
-42m 01s |
+21.6% |
| 110° |
52m 55s |
36m 21s |
-16m 33s |
+8.5% |
| 120° |
1h 00m 25s |
43m 23s |
-17m 01s |
+8.8% |
| 130° |
1h 22m 15s |
1h 03m 22s |
-18m 52s |
+9.7% |
| 135° |
1h 09m 00s |
54m 09s |
-14m 50s |
+7.6% |
| 140° |
1h 34m 35s |
1h 15m 55s |
-18m 39s |
+9.6% |
| 150° |
51m 05s |
45m 12s |
-5m 52s |
+3.0% |
| 160° |
10m 45s |
10m 35s |
-0m 09s |
+0.1% |