← Polars · Boatspeed Table

Finish Time Delta

What this is (and isn't): this holds the actual track fixed — for every wind angle/speed combination actually sailed, it asks "what if this exact segment had been sailed at the polar's speed instead of the boat's," then sums up. It does not model routing changes a genuinely faster or slower boat would have made — reaching a layline sooner, avoiding a header, riding a shift longer, timing a current gate differently. Different boatspeed in reality would very likely have meant a different route, and therefore different wind angles and conditions than what got sailed here. Treat this as "how the actual angles/speeds compared to target," not a true alternate-history finish time.

TransPac '15 vs. MM reference

Actual (analyzed)
207h 45m 15s
99.9% of race time covered
Theoretical (mm)
191h 06m 29s
same angles/speeds distribution, polar's BSP
Delta
-16h 38m 45s
-8.0% of actual time · slower than the polar overall

By True Wind Speed

TWSActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
4 kt no data
6 kt 36m 50s 35m 35s -1m 14s +0.1%
7 kt 1h 30m 20s 1h 31m 51s +1m 31s -0.2%
8 kt 3h 40m 40s 3h 48m 20s +7m 40s -0.8%
9 kt 6h 09m 20s 6h 18m 12s +8m 52s -0.9%
10 kt 16h 17m 20s 16h 29m 20s +12m 00s -1.2%
12 kt 32h 54m 50s 30h 47m 52s -2h 06m 57s +12.7%
14 kt 33h 09m 15s 29h 41m 25s -3h 27m 49s +20.8%
16 kt 47h 05m 00s 42h 57m 50s -4h 07m 09s +24.7%
20 kt 49h 56m 40s 44h 47m 22s -5h 09m 17s +31.0%
25 kt 16h 25m 00s 14h 08m 38s -2h 16m 21s +13.7%
30 kt no data

By True Wind Angle

TWAActualTheoreticalDelta% of total delta
45° no data
52° no data
60° no data
70° no data
75° no data
80° no data
90° 1m 15s 0m 50s -0m 24s +0.0%
100° 22m 10s 16m 47s -5m 22s +0.5%
110° 2h 42m 45s 2h 04m 26s -38m 18s +3.8%
120° 18h 35m 40s 14h 54m 03s -3h 41m 36s +22.2%
130° 47h 13m 15s 41h 05m 54s -6h 07m 20s +36.8%
135° 45h 35m 10s 41h 06m 00s -4h 29m 09s +26.9%
140° 54h 53m 00s 50h 46m 08s -4h 06m 51s +24.7%
150° 32h 02m 30s 33h 31m 09s +1h 28m 39s -8.9%
160° 6h 19m 30s 7h 21m 08s +1h 01m 38s -6.2%